Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000047 0.000051 0.000055 0.000060 0.000065 0.000071 0.000077
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077 0.000088
2025-11-23 0.000036 0.000043 0.000050 0.000059 0.000071 0.000084 0.000101
2025-11-30 0.000033 0.000040 0.000048 0.000059 0.000072 0.000089 0.000111
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000089 0.000115
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000054 0.000069 0.000089 0.000118
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000031 0.000040 0.000052 0.000068 0.000090 0.000122
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000089 0.000123
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000048 0.000065 0.000089 0.000126
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000047 0.000065 0.000091 0.000132
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000068 0.000097 0.000143
2026-01-25 0.000021 0.000028 0.000039 0.000055 0.000079 0.000115 0.000175
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000054 0.000080 0.000119 0.000187
2026-02-08 0.000018 0.000026 0.000036 0.000053 0.000079 0.000121 0.000194
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000036 0.000054 0.000082 0.000128 0.000211
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000053 0.000083 0.000132 0.000223
2026-03-01 0.000015 0.000023 0.000033 0.000051 0.000080 0.000130 0.000225
2026-03-08 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000049 0.000078 0.000128 0.000226
2026-03-15 0.000013 0.000020 0.000030 0.000047 0.000076 0.000128 0.000230
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000045 0.000074 0.000126 0.000230
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000043 0.000072 0.000124 0.000232
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000127 0.000241
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044 0.000075 0.000134 0.000262